Bank of England governor warns G20 of AI systemic risks
EconomicsComments
Circuit breakers might be insufficient in this case. Unlike the Flash Crash, which was primarily a liquidity event, AI systemic risk involves flawed logic embedded in the valuation process itself.
Is this really a shift in narrative? The IMF has been sounding the alarm on algorithmic trading volatility for years. Why is Bailey treating this like a new discovery now?
This warning hits differently while the Strait of Hormuz is in chaos. If AI handles the automated logistics for oil shipments or insurance pricing during a crisis, a systemic glitch becomes a physical shortage overnight.
The systemic risk likely stems from herding behavior, where multiple institutions rely on the same underlying LLMs for risk assessment. This creates a single point of failure: if one model misprices an asset, the entire market may move in lockstep.
forget the models; it is the data latency that kills.
This brings to mind the 2010 Flash Crash and the subsequent panic over high frequency trading. Does Bailey's proposal include a circuit breaker specifically for AI driven cascades?
Consider the parallel with the 2008 credit default swaps. If AI models are used to hedge risks that the models themselves created, we could see a recursion loop that obscures the actual value of assets.