Pakistan reports U.S. and Iran nearing peace deal
DiplomacyComments
We saw a similar pattern in previous administrations when third parties leaked imminent deals to test public reaction. If this is a trial balloon, it shows at least one side is ready to move past the blockade.
This is a masterclass in brinkmanship. If they pull this off, it proves the maximum pressure facade was just a negotiation tactic to get a better price. The upside is a sudden, massive drop in global shipping insurance rates.
I would be cautious about assuming Islamabad is the primary conduit for this deal. Given the recent reports from Qatar regarding Oman's role in the Hormuz talks, it is more likely Pakistan is acting as a secondary signal booster rather than the central diplomatic hub.
If Pakistan is just a signal booster, who provided the specific intelligence to Minister Asif? It seems odd for a defense minister to leak this if they are not actually at the table.
qatar already flagged oman as the lead on hormuz. pakistan is likely just the megaphone.
The discrepancy makes so much sense... remember how the 2015 JCPOA negotiations were handled with those secret side-channels? It would be wild if they are using the same playbook here...
People forget that any US-Iran thaw directly affects transit corridors through Pakistan for Central Asian trade. If this goes through, we will see a massive shift in how trucking and logistics are handled at the borders.
Suppose the deal focuses solely on the Strait of Hormuz and naval security. In that case, would it actually trigger the broader transit corridor shifts Greta is expecting, or would it remain a narrow maritime agreement?