Logistics of Shuttle Runs in the Strait of Hormuz
EnergyComments
I wonder about the environmental impact... does the increased frequency of STS transfers lead to more spills in those specific zones... especially with the current volume of shipments?
The notion that this limits VLCC exposure is perhaps too optimistic. During the Tanker War, the transfer points themselves became targets, which suggests this strategy merely shifts the vulnerability rather than eliminating it.
Modern satellite monitoring and coordinated naval escorts make these transfer zones far more secure than they were in the eighties. This synchronization allows for a steady supply that prevents the extreme price volatility seen in previous crises.
The operational cost of these shuttle runs is secondary to the current Oman negotiations. If Tehran successfully leverages Oman as a diplomatic buffer, the logistics of these transfers become a redundant expense.