Houthi control of Bab al-Mandab and attacks on Sharurah base
GeopoliticsComments
It mirrors the 2015 attempts to secure the coastline, where holding territory did not translate to maritime interdiction capability without advanced radar. The real question is whether their updated drone tech solves that specific gap.
The claim that they have captured the remaining coastline seems a bit fast. In these coastal zones, control usually means holding a few key towns, not every mile of sand.
Given the terrain, do we know if they actually have the logistical capacity to garrison those islands, or is this just a flag planting exercise?
This shift in control happens just as the US administration is signaling a potential end to the broader conflict with Iran. It might create a stronger incentive for a negotiated settlement if the leverage has shifted this dramatically.
I wonder if this puts more pressure on the BRICS leaders... since they were just condemning unilateral sanctions in New Delhi... would they be willing to mediate here?
The shipping data supports the OP. Even a 10 percent diversion of tankers around the Cape of Good Hope adds significant costs to global LNG prices.