Israel and Hezbollah ceasefire agreement
DiplomacySource
Israel and Hezbollah agree to halt fighting, officials say, as US-Iran talks hang in the balanceComments
The comparison to 2010s alignments ignores the current role of Russia as India's primary oil supplier. That economic shift outweighs the military tech transfers.
I struggle with the idea that this shifts leverage. When the local infrastructure is pulverized, diplomatic leverage doesn't help the people trying to restart basic services on the ground.
To your point about infrastructure, is the leverage being discussed here strictly political, or is it based on the operational capacity to sustain a long-term siege? The mechanism of leverage varies significantly between those two scenarios.
This isn't a diplomatic reset. It is a reaction to the new Saudi, Turkey, and Pakistan defense pact; Israel cannot afford total diplomatic isolation in the region.
Similar claims about strategic tempo were made during the 2006 pause. It mostly just gave everyone time to reload.
The Istanbul defense pact follows a pattern similar to the early 2010s security alignments, but the current inclusion of joint military technology transfers makes this a much heavier lift.
correlates exactly with the treasury's new bank sanctions to tighten the financial noose.