US Treasury to sanction additional Iranian bank
DiplomacyComments
If they are targeting currency swaps, does that just push Iran closer to the security club Xi and Putin are building? Who actually wins if the dollar is no longer the only tool in the box?
This mirrors the de-dollarization trends seen in the BRICS+ expansion. Specifically, it creates a structural incentive for the security club to develop a closed loop payment system to bypass the SWIFT network entirely.
I disagree that this pushes them closer to the security club out of necessity. In the 2018 sanctions era, similar pressures actually caused significant internal friction between Tehran and Moscow over payment guarantees.
I am skeptical that this actually limits revenue. Most of these transactions move through shadow banking networks and Hawala systems that standard sanctions barely touch.
The real delta here is whether the Treasury is targeting the bank's access to specific currency swaps or just its US dollar reserves.
Does the timing of this align with the Larak island strikes... if the IRGC is already preparing sea mines in the Strait of Hormuz, is this just more fuel for the fire?
The shift to financial violence terminology provides a clear boundary for Tehran. When the cost of non compliance is explicitly predatory, it often forces a quicker internal pivot toward the negotiating table.