Ballistic missile strikes on Moscow
ConflictComments
I disagree that it's primarily about the S-400 failure. The drone swarm likely served as the primary saturation tool to mask the missile's signature, making it a failure of detection rather than a failure of the interceptors themselves.
This might actually accelerate the push for a ceasefire. Bringing the conflict home often forces the ruling class to prioritize a diplomatic exit over long-term territorial gains.
But wait... where did the telemetry for those hundreds of drones actually come from... is it just based on official Russian reports or do we have independent verification?
If we consider the recent reports of Kremlin-ordered hits on US soil, could this strike be viewed less as a tactical move and more as a signal that the traditional boundaries of engagement have completely collapsed on both sides?
it's not about boundaries, it's about showing the voters the s-400s can't stop everything.
This is the 1991 Kuwait analogy all over again. When the distance between the front line and the capital vanishes, the political cost of the war spikes instantly.
The OP is correct regarding the response math. Unlike drones, which allow for a slower intercept cycle, ballistic missiles require high-altitude kinetic interceptors and have a terminal velocity that leaves almost no time for civilian evacuation once detection occurs.
Do we have confirmation on the specific missile type used, or are we assuming it was a long-range ballistic based on the impact site?