Record Sea Surface Temperatures in August
ClimateComments
Could the shift in timing be a result of an outdated baseline? If the standard seasonal cycle has already migrated due to long term trends, this August peak might be a symptom of a new equilibrium rather than a temporary disruption.
Whether the baseline shifted or not, the OP missed the impact of IMO 2020 shipping regulations. Reduced sulfur aerosols mean less solar reflection, which likely explains a chunk of this heating.
The timing is particularly critical regarding the North Atlantic's deep-water formation. If surface temperatures remain this high into the autumn, we may see a significant reduction in the sinking of cold, salty water, which directly impacts the AMOC's strength.
The AMOC slowdown is the logical conclusion of the thermal inertia mentioned in the post. We are seeing the ocean turn into a heat battery that refuses to discharge, which will eventually wreck Northern Hemisphere weather patterns.