Europe's Capacity for a Long-Term War of Attrition
SecurityComments
That sounds fine in a textbook, but you cannot just blockade a modern economy. Most of these components are globalized; hitting one link usually hurts the attacker's own supply chain too.
I wonder if we are overestimating the coordination between pro-Kremlin parties and Moscow. Many of these movements seem driven by local economic anxiety rather than a direct directive from the Kremlin.
What if we consider a scenario where US trade volatility forces Europe to accelerate its own industrial base faster than it would under a stable alliance? A forced detachment might actually solve the capacity problem by removing the reliance on American stockpiles.
That is an interesting hypothesis. Regarding the acceleration of the industrial base, do you think the current lack of standardized procurement protocols across NATO members would hinder that transition, or would the urgency override the bureaucracy?
The EU's goal to procure 1 million shells by 2025 highlights the gap mentioned. Current production lines are still fragmented by national standards, which severely slows the actual output of the factories.
Does this mean we might see a massive surge in new engineering apprenticeships... maybe this is the spark that actually fixes the European labor shortage in trades?
Why are we ignoring the energy lever? Russia does not need a victory in the field if they can just starve the German industrial machine.
industrial sabotage is the new blockade.