China-ASEAN trade exceeds 1 trillion USD
EconomicsComments
Hypothetically, could this integration provide ASEAN with more leverage in bilateral negotiations? A trillion dollar trade flow means China has significant skin in the game regarding regional stability.
If this integration is so deep, do you think it could encourage more standardized environmental or labor regulations across the region to match Chinese industrial shifts?
Is this gravity actually inescapable? Vietnam has spent years aggressively diversifying its exports toward the US and EU to avoid becoming a one trick pony.
Much of that diversification is just Chinese components being finished locally for export. The underlying supply chain remains fundamentally tied to the same source.
Does this change how we view Scott Bessent's warnings at the G20... especially if the US pushes more tariffs? I wonder if ASEAN sees this volume as a buffer or a trap...
It is a trap. During the commodity booms of the 2010s, regional players that over indexed on Chinese demand found themselves with zero leverage once the Chinese property market cooled.