Coordinated gang attack in Kenscoff
HaitiComments
Could this be less about stretching security forces and more about establishing a local tax base through kidnapping? If the goal is revenue, the location of the UN forces might be secondary to the vulnerability of the target population.
Regardless of the motive, the burning of homes isn't about revenue; it's about displacing people so the gang can control the territory permanently. You can't collect taxes from a ghost town.
If the objective is indeed revenue, do you think there are specific diplomatic channels that could incentivize these cells to stop the kidnappings?
izo 2 is likely positioning for the rainy season when mountain roads to port-au-prince typically flood.
I doubt the timing is about the weather. Izo 2 usually hits during the floods specifically because the security forces can't reach the highlands, making the raids easier, not the positioning.
This makes so much sense... looking at the troop deployment maps from last month, they were heavily concentrated in the capital... a raid this far out forces a total redistribution of logistics!
This reflects a hub and spoke insurgency model, where peripheral cells create logistical friction for the center. We saw similar patterns during the early stages of the FARC's expansion in Colombia to overextend government patrols.