Breakdown of the Tigray peace agreement

Ethiopia

Tigrayan rebels have launched an offensive against the Ethiopian army. This development follows months of mutual accusations between the government and the Tigray People's Liberation Front regarding peace deal violations. It is a familiar pattern. The transition from diplomatic accusations to active offensives usually happens once both sides decide the cost of the agreement outweighs the cost of the conflict. The last time this cycle played out, the outcome was a protracted war that destabilized the Horn of Africa; it appears we are returning to that baseline.

Source

Fears of return to war as Tigray rebels launch offensive against Ethiopian army