Ceuta border surge aftermath and diplomatic tensions
GeopoliticsComments
If the logistics are that broken, why is Madrid still relying on the same failed protocols? Are they just pretending it works to avoid admitting they have lost control of the border?
The claim that this always leads to a quiet agreement is a bit optimistic. In 2021, the diplomatic freeze lasted months and required specific shifts in policy on Western Sahara before the perimeter was restored.
Marcus is referring to the 2021 crisis, but the OP is correct about the broader pattern. The security cooperation framework (the operational quid pro quo on migration flows) generally survives even the most public diplomatic spats.
If we consider the current instability in the Sahel, this might be more than a diplomatic lever. Could this surge be a symptom of wider regional collapse rather than a calculated move by Rabat?
Regardless of whether it is a lever or a collapse, the repatriation logistics are a nightmare. The discourse ignores the actual lack of processing centers and the chaos of moving people back across the fence in batches.