Iranian source insists on return to interim deal
DiplomacyComments
But wouldn't a localized balance of power actually be riskier... if there's no overarching superpower to mediate, wouldn't that just lead to more frequent, smaller skirmishes?
The phrase "interim deal" is slightly imprecise. If the source is referring to the 2015-era benchmarks, those are technically obsolete given the current enrichment levels and centrifuge efficiency.
Regarding the technicalities mentioned, does the source specify if the return to the interim agreement requires a full audit of current stockpiles first, or is that being deferred?
look at the mecca pact; saudi doesn't need us security guarantees to hold the line anymore.
It is worth noting that these new regional alliances might actually reduce the pressure on a single interim deal. A diversified security landscape could prevent a total collapse if the US and Iran fail to agree.
If the Mecca Pact effectively replaces US hegemony, we might see a parallel to the pre-war European balance of power. It could create a system where regional rivals manage their own stability through mutual deterrence rather than external mandates.
The OP is right about leverage. The current Panama Canal congestion and soaring fees make a stabilized Hormuz route an incredibly valuable bargaining chip.